Friday, 26 July 2013

Nature Climate Change Contents August 2013 Volume 3 Number 8 pp 688-764

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TABLE OF CONTENTS

August 2013 Volume 3, Issue 8

Editorial
Correspondence
Commentaries
Books and Arts
Interview
Market Watch
Research Highlights
News and Views
Perspectives
Letters
Erratum
Corrigendum



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Editorial

Top

Certain uncertainty p689
doi:10.1038/nclimate1978
A report that assesses a decade of extreme events provokes thoughts on weather, climate change and what is to come.

Correspondence

Top

Transformation is adaptation p690
Lauren Rickards
doi:10.1038/nclimate1933

US maize adaptability pp690 - 691
Wolfram Schlenker, Michael J. Roberts and David B. Lobell
doi:10.1038/nclimate1959
See also: Correspondence by Ethan E. Butler et al.

Reply to 'US maize adaptability' pp691 - 692
Ethan E. Butler and Peter Huybers
doi:10.1038/nclimate1960
See also: Correspondence by Wolfram Schlenker et al.

Commentaries

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Triple transformation pp692 - 694
Farrukh I. Khan and Dustin S. Schinn
doi:10.1038/nclimate1965
A new business plan that enables policy transformation and resource mobilization at the national and international level, while improving access to resources, will allow the Green Climate Fund to integrate development goals and action on climate change.

Loss and damage attribution pp694 - 696
Christian Huggel, Dáithí Stone, Maximilian Auffhammer and Gerrit Hansen
doi:10.1038/nclimate1961
If research on attribution of extreme weather events is to inform emerging climate change policies, it needs to diagnose all of the components of risk.

Books and Arts

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Requiem for a grand theory p697
William Schlesinger
doi:10.1038/nclimate1953

On our bookshelf p697
doi:10.1038/nclimate1971

Interview

Top

The scientist politician pp698 - 699
Nicola Jones
doi:10.1038/nclimate1957
Andrew Weaver has held a prestigious Canada Research Chair, worked on four IPCC assessments and written two popular science books. This May, he was elected as the first Green Party Member of the Legislative Assembly in British Colombia. He talks to Nature Climate Change about what he hopes to achieve.

Market Watch

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The city-sized lab in the sky pp700 - 701
Anna Petherick
doi:10.1038/nclimate1966
Mexico City is unique among developing megacities for having a 27-year time series of detailed air-quality data. Anna Petherick asks what other cities can learn from its example.

Research Highlights

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Ecological impacts: Adapting at pace | Oceanography: Ocean carbon | Science and society: Usable science | Renewable energy: Uneven benefits | Atmospheric science: Monsoon arrives early

News and Views

Top

Policy: Carbon emissions in China's trade pp703 - 704
Valerie J. Karplus
doi:10.1038/nclimate1967
A large share of China's carbon emissions is linked to consumption that takes place in its most developed provinces and overseas. A study highlights the implications of considering those emissions in the country's climate policy.

Climate projection: Refining global warming projections pp704 - 705
Chris Huntingford
doi:10.1038/nclimate1964
Accurately determining the warming associated with scenarios of greenhouse gas emissions remains an overarching aim of climate modelling. Research now shows that contemporary measurements significantly reduce uncertainty bounds and indicate that some more extreme warming predictions may be less likely.
See also: Letter by Roger W. Bodman et al.

Ecological impacts: Variance and ecological transitions pp706 - 707
Guy Midgley
doi:10.1038/nclimate1968
Rainfall variability could be a key determinant of the diverse spatial patterns of tree cover in the tropics.
See also: Letter by Milena Holmgren et al.

nclimate
JOBS of the week
Chair, Department of Earth and Environmental Sciences, University of Waterloo
University of Waterloo
Director of Conservation Research and Chief Scientist
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Land use based climate change mitigation under natural disturbances
Potsdam Institute for Climate Impact Research
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Nansen Environmental and Remote Sensing Center
PhD student position in satellite imaging radar
Chalmers University of Technology
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07.09.13
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Perspectives

Top

The urgency of assessing the greenhouse gas budgets of hydroelectric reservoirs in China pp708 - 712
Yuanan Hu and Hefa Cheng
doi:10.1038/nclimate1831
China, already the largest generator of hydroelectricity, plans to accelerate dam construction. This has led to warnings that increased emissions of greenhouse gases, particularly methane, from Chinese reservoirs could constitute a 'global warming time-bomb'. A review of evidence on emissions from the Three Gorges Reservoir — the world's largest — indicates that such fears are probably misplaced.

Promoting interdisciplinarity through climate change education pp713 - 716
Aaron M. McCright, Brian W. O'Shea, Ryan D. Sweeder, Gerald R. Urquhart and Aklilu Zeleke
doi:10.1038/nclimate1844
Much climate change education research is now being funded in the USA. This Perspective argues that university-level climate change education may promote interdisciplinary, keep talented young people in the science, technology, engineering and mathematics pipeline, and help all students enhance their scientific, quantitative and climate literacies.

Letters

Top

Projections of seasonal patterns in temperature- related deaths for Manhattan, New York pp717 - 721
Tiantian Li, Radley M. Horton and Patrick L. Kinney
doi:10.1038/nclimate1902
Rising temperatures may alter the proportions of both heat- and cold-related deaths, leaving the net impact on annual mortality uncertain. Current and future seasonal patterns of temperature-related mortality in Manhattan, New York, are estimated, showing warm season increases and cold season decreases in temperature-related mortality, with positive net annual deaths in all cases.

The social cost of CO2 in a low-growth world pp722 - 724
Chris Hope and Mat Hope
doi:10.1038/nclimate1935
Climate change mitigation has slowed down as major emitters face economic stagnation. Research now shows that the average cost to society of an additional tonne of carbon dioxide emissions tends to increase during recessions as the impact occurs in a poorer world. This suggests that climate change mitigation should be a priority in a low-growth situation.

Uncertainty in temperature projections reduced using carbon cycle and climate observations pp725 - 729
Roger W. Bodman, Peter J. Rayner and David J. Karoly
doi:10.1038/nclimate1903
The response of the carbon cycle to climate change, including carbon fluxes, is now shown to be the second largest source of uncertainty in projections of temperature. A simplified climate model using temperature records and historical estimates of CO2 concentrations demonstrates that considering these two factors together reduces uncertainty further than treating them as individual parameters.
See also: News and Views by Chris Huntingford

Mitigation of short-lived climate pollutants slows sea-level rise pp730 - 734
Aixue Hu, Yangyang Xu, Claudia Tebaldi, Warren M. Washington and Veerabhadran Ramanathan
doi:10.1038/nclimate1869
Short-lived climate pollutants are known to contribute to global warming, but the impact of this increased temperature on sea-level rise due to thermal expansion is not known. Curbing emissions of these pollutants is shown to significantly reduce the rate of sea-level rise by 24–50% by 2100; however, delaying mitigation by 25 years reduces the impact on sea-level rise by about a third.

Semi-empirical versus process-based sea-level projections for the twenty-first century pp735 - 738
Mirko Orli? and Zoran Pasari?
doi:10.1038/nclimate1877
Two dynamical methods are used at present to project sea-level changes during the next century—process-based and semi-empirical. However, semi-empirical projections can exceed process-based projections three-fold. This work tests the robustness of semi-empirical projections to the underlying assumptions, and finds these projections are sensitive to the dynamics considered and the terrestrial-water corrections applied.

Pace of shifts in climate regions increases with global temperature pp739 - 743
Irina Mahlstein, John S. Daniel and Susan Solomon
doi:10.1038/nclimate1876
This study looks at the pace of change in climate zones as a function of global warming. Using the RCP8.5 scenario, the rate nearly doubles by the end of this century, and about 20% of all land area undergoes a change. In the future, species will have less time to adapt, therefore increasing the risk of extinction.

Springtime atmospheric energy transport and the control of Arctic summer sea-ice extent pp744 - 748
Marie-Luise Kapsch, Rune Grand Graversen and Michael Tjernström
doi:10.1038/nclimate1884
The causes of interannual variability in Arctic sea-ice extent are not well understood. This study looks at the impact of the greenhouse effect, associated with clouds and water vapour, on sea-ice formation and melt. Enhancement of the greenhouse effect, due to increased cloudiness and humidity, results in increased ice melt.

Projected increase in tropical cyclones near Hawaii pp749 - 754
Hiroyuki Murakami, Bin Wang, Tim Li and Akio Kitoh
doi:10.1038/nclimate1890
Future tropical cyclone activity is investigated around the Hawaiian Islands. Projections show a consistent and robust increase in the frequency of tropical cyclones by the end of the century. This increase is attributed to changes in large-scale circulation, which alter the cyclone tracks.

Effects of interannual climate variability on tropical tree cover pp755 - 758
Milena Holmgren, Marina Hirota, Egbert H. van Nes and Marten Scheffer
doi:10.1038/nclimate1906
Climatic warming is intensifying the global water cycle, and is projected to increase rainfall variability. Higher interannual variability in rainfall is shown to reduce tree cover in the wet tropics, but may promote expansion of cover in tropical dry lands.
See also: News and Views by Guy Midgley

Shorter flowering seasons and declining abundance of flower visitors in a warmer Arctic pp759 - 763
Toke T. Høye, Eric Post, Niels M. Schmidt, Kristian Trøjelsgaard and Mads C. Forchhammer
doi:10.1038/nclimate1909
Climate-induced changes in phenology have the potential to push trophic relationships out of synchrony, but evidence of this phenomenon is scant, particularly in the Arctic. A long-term (1996–2009), spatially replicated data set from high-Arctic Greenland now indicates a climate-associated shortening of the flowering season, and a concomitant decline in flower visitor abundance.

Erratum

Top

Building resilience to face recurring environmental crisis in African Sahel p764
Emily Boyd, Rosalind J. Cornforth, Peter J. Lam, Aondover Tarhule, M. Issa Lélé and Alan Brouder
doi:10.1038/nclimate1969
See also: Perspective by Emily Boyd et al.

Corrigendum

Top

Atmospheric verification of anthropogenic CO2 emission trends p764
Roger J. Francey, Cathy M. Trudinger, Marcel van der Schoot, Rachel M. Law, Paul B. Krummel, Ray L. Langenfelds, L. Paul Steele, Colin E. Allison, Ann R. Stavert, Robert J. Andres and Christian Rödenbeck
doi:10.1038/nclimate1956
See also: Article by Roger J. Francey et al.

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